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MH370 A satisfactory explanation. [Copy link] 中文

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Post time 2014-3-19 19:05:07 |Display all floors
   
   
     
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                MH370 most likely caught fire, tried to land in Langkawi, says former pilot                                IndiaToday.in New Delhi, March 18, 2014 | UPDATED 17:56 IST
               


A mother of a passenger onboard the missing Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 cries as she listens to a briefing from the airline company at a hotel in Beijing, March 18, 2014. Intensive background checks of everyone aboard a missing Malaysian jetliner have so far failed to find anyone with a known political or criminal motive to crash or hijack the plane, Western security sources and Chinese authorities said. Photo by Kim Kyung-Hoon(Reuters)



A former pilot from Florida has offered "a different point of view" on the disappearance of Flight MH370.In his conjecture, posted on Google Plus, Chris Goodfellow said the Malaysia Airlines plane, missing since March 8, might have caught fire (thereby disabling the transponders) and the pilot would have taken a left turn and must have tried to land the aircraft at the nearest runway - Pulau Langkawi - an archipelago in Malaysia.
Here is his full explanation.
"MH370 A different point of view. Pulau Langkawi 13,000 runway.
A lot of speculation about MH370. Terrorism, hijack, meteors. I cannot believe the analysis on CNN - almost disturbing. I tend to look for a more simple explanation of this event.
Loaded 777 departs midnight from Kuala to Beijing. Hot night. Heavy aircraft.  About an hour out across the gulf towards Vietnam the plane goes dark meaning the transponder goes off and secondary radar tracking goes off.
Two days later we hear of reports that Malaysian military radar (which is a primary radar meaning the plane is being tracked by reflection rather than by transponder interrogation response) has tracked the plane on a southwesterly course back across the Malay Peninsula into the straits of Malacca.
When I heard this I immediately brought up Google Earth and I searched for airports in proximity to the track towards southwest.
The left turn is the key here. This was a very experienced senior Captain with 18,000 hours. Maybe some of the younger pilots interviewed on CNN didn't pick up on this left turn. We old pilots were always drilled to always know the closest airport of safe harbor while in cruise. Airports behind us, airports abeam us and airports ahead of us. Always in our head. Always. Because if something happens you don't want to be thinking what are you going to do - you already know what you are going to do. Instinctively when I saw that left turn with a direct heading I knew he was heading for an airport. Actually he was taking a direct route to Palau Langkawi a 13,000 foot strip with an approach over water at night with no obstacles. He did not turn back to Kuala Lampur because he knew he had 8,000 foot ridges to cross. He knew the terrain was friendlier towards Langkawi and also a shorter distance.
Take a look on Google Earth at this airport. This pilot did all the right things. He was confronted by some major event onboard that made him make that immediate turn back to the closest safe airport.
For me the loss of transponders and communications makes perfect sense if a fire. There was most likely a fire or electrical fire. In the case of fire the first response if to pull all the main busses and restore circuits one by one until you have isolated the bad one.
If they pulled the busses the plane indeed would go silent. It was probably a serious event and they simply were occupied with controlling the plane and trying to fight the fire. Aviate, Navigate and lastly communicate. There are two types of fires.
Electrical might not be as fast and furious and there might or might not be incapacitating smoke. However there is the possibility given the timeline that perhaps there was an overheat on one of the front landing gear tires and it blew on takeoff and started slowly burning. Yes this happens with underinflated tires. Remember heavy plane, hot night, sea level, long run takeoff.
There was a well known accident in Nigeria of a DC8 that had a landing gear fire on takeoff. A tire fire once going would produce horrific incapacitating smoke. Yes, pilots have access to oxygen masks but this is a no no with fire. Most have access to a smoke hood with a filter but this will only last for a few minutes depending on the smoke level. (I used to carry one of my own in a flight bag and I still carry one in my briefcase today when I fly).
What I think happened is that they were overcome by smoke and the plane just continued on the heading probably on George (autopilot) until either fuel exhaustion or fire destroyed the control surfaces and it crashed. I said four days ago you will find it along that route - looking elsewhere was pointless.
This pilot, as I say, was a hero struggling with an impossible situation trying to get that plane to Langkawi. No doubt in my mind. That's the reason for the turn and direct route. A hijack would not have made that deliberate left turn with a direct heading for Langkawi. It would probably have weaved around a bit until the hijackers decided on where they were taking it.
Surprisingly none of the reporters, officials, other pilots interviewed have looked at this from the pilot's viewpoint. If something went wrong where would he go? Thanks to Google earth I spotted Langkawi in about 30 seconds, zoomed in and saw how long the runway was and I just instinctively knew this pilot knew this airport. He had probably flown there many times. I guess we will eventually find out when you help me spread this theory on the net and some reporters finally take a look on Google earth and put 2 and 2 together. Also a look at the age and number of cycles on those nose tires might give us a good clue too.  
Fire in an aircraft demands one thing - you get the machine on the ground as soon as possible. There are two well remembered experiences in my memory. The AirCanada DC9 which landed I believe in Columbus Ohio in the eighties. That pilot delayed descent and bypassed several airports. He didn't instinctively know the closest airports. He got it on the ground eventually but lost 30 odd souls.  
In the 1998 crash of Swissair DC-10 off Nova Scotia was another example of heroic pilots. They were 15 minutes out of Halifax but the fire simply overcame them and they had to ditch in the ocean. Just ran out of time. That fire incidentally started when the aircraft was about an hour out of Kennedy. Guess what the transponders and communications were shut off as they pulled the busses.
Get on Google Earth and type in Pulau Langkawi  and then look at it in relation to the radar track heading. 2+2=4. That for me is the  simple explanation why it turned and headed  in that direction.
Smart pilot. Just didn't have the time."




Read more at: http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/missing-malaysian-jet-mh370-google-plus-langkawi-chris-goodfellow/1/350052.html
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Post time 2014-3-19 19:09:50 |Display all floors
and the plane flew on and on after that until it ran out of fuel and crashed some where.


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Post time 2014-3-19 22:21:37 |Display all floors
the only theory that makes sense.





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Post time 2014-3-19 22:26:15 |Display all floors
What I think happened is that they were overcome by smoke and the plane just continued on the heading probably on George (autopilot) until either fuel exhaustion or fire destroyed the control surfaces and it crashed. I said four days ago you will find it along that route - looking elsewhere was pointless.
This pilot, as I say, was a hero struggling with an impossible situation trying to get that plane to Langkawi. No doubt in my mind.



Smart pilot. Just didn't have the time."
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Post time 2014-3-19 22:34:39 |Display all floors
But according to your own Malay radar and CIA data, the plane flew on for a further 8 hours when the transponders were deliberately turned off.
A fire on a plane can last 8-hours?

I have another theory.
You dumb Malays are born without the grey matter in the cranium.

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Post time 2014-3-19 22:48:02 |Display all floors
Gilbert_Ho Post time: 2014-3-19 22:34
But according to your own Malay radar and CIA data, the plane flew on for a further 8 hours when the ...

Nothing against Malays, but this scenario contradicts the fact that military radar tracked it for another hour, easily time enuogh to land at Langkawi, and of course, the "pings" of the engines continued hour after hour, so this pilot must be kind of landing in Langkawi, taking off, and landing again, just for the heck of it, hour after hour, until he ran out of gas.  By the way, the last ping was at 8:11 AM, clearly far beyond the fuel range of the plane that was supposed to run out gas by around 7:00 AM, at the latest, 7:30 AM, because it was loaded with only enough fuel to get to Beijing by 6:30 AM.  This plane had to have landed somewhere, refueled, and taken off again, to land finally within one hour after 8:11 AM.  And the only place on earth that could have happened at is AUSTRALIA.

The Western media is letting out a sigh of relief that finally, the Australian air patrol is taking over the search.

They should.  It ensures that the plane and the passengers will never be found - on Australia itself.  They compared the search of the Indian Ocean south of Perth to finding a needle in a haystack.  We could have told them it was much, much harder than that.  It is like looking for a needle IN THE WRONG HAYSTACK!!!

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Post time 2014-3-19 23:51:49 |Display all floors
Gilbert_Ho Post time: 2014-3-19 22:34
But according to your own Malay radar and CIA data, the plane flew on for a further 8 hours when the ...

the fire knocked out the crew and the communications...................

I guess the aviation is more robust and isolated.  The plane reached Langkawi and continued flying until it ran out of fuel.



I've made my living, Mr. Thompson, in large part as a gambler. Some days I make twenty bets, some days I make none. There are weeks, sometimes months, in fact, when I don't make any bet at all because ...

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