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China's GDP growth eases to 7.8% in 2012 [Copy link] 中文

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Post time 2013-1-18 22:24:11 |Display all floors
( Xinhua/chinadaily.com.cn)

China’s GDP growth rebounded "significantly" in the fourth quarter of 2012 and the mo-mentum will extend through out 2013, Ma Jiantang, head of the National Bureau of Statistics, told a news briefing on Friday.

China's economic expansion slowed to 7.8 percent year-on-year in 2012 amid external jitters and domestic woes, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed on Friday.


The growth rate, the slowest one since 1999, was down from 9.3 percent in 2011 and 10.4 percent in 2010.



The economy's fourth-quarter growth quickened to 7.9 percent on strong trade data as well as improving consumption and investment figures.

The rate, which ended a seven-straight-quarter slowdown, was up from 7.4 percent in the third quarter, 7.6 percent in the second and 8.1 percent in the first.

According to preliminary statistics, gross domestic product reached 51.93 trillion yuan ($8.28 trillion) in 2012.

Ma predicted that the international economic situation will still challenging in 2013, but the US economy is likely to fare better than predicted. At home, the driving force for mid- and long-term economic growth has not changed in 2013 while constraints in resources, environment and labor supply increased.

In this context, more efforts should be taken to improve the economic structure and growth model and to fulfill "real GDP growth" while bringing more benefits to the citizens, Ma said.

"Government stimulus measures introduced since early 2012 have produced results. They have helped reverse the slowdown and stabilize the growth," said Wang Jun, an economist at the China Center for International Economic Exchanges, one elite think-tank in Beijing.

Last May, the government shifted its top priority from taming inflation to stabilizing growth. It has moderately eased its grip over lending, approved massive construction projects, and stepped up tax reductions to buoy the economy.

GDP figures headed a string of other encouraging economic data on Friday. Retail sales, a key indicator of consumer spending, rose 15.2 percent from a year earlier in December, up from 14.9 percent in November.

The growth of industrial production accelerated to 10.3 percent year-on-year in December from November's 10.1-percent pace. Fixed-asset investment, a measure of government spending on infrastructure, also increased 1.53 percent from November to December.

China's exports, a key driver of the economy, also trumped market forecasts to grow 14.1 percent year-on-year in December, up from November's 2.9 percent, customs data showed last week.

"I think the economy's growth has been stabilized, but whether the rebound will continue remains unclear," said Zhang Liqun, an analyst with the Development Research Center of the State Council.

China's major economic risks in 2013 still lie in uncertainties in its external markets and domestic property sector, Zhang said.

The government pared the full-year growth target for 2012 to 7.5 percent from 8 percent in early 2012. Many economists are expecting the target to remain unchanged for this year.


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Post time 2013-1-18 23:12:24 |Display all floors
Is there any statistics how much of the GDP was from real estate and construction. Most of them are considered to be false indicators. However I am confident that the Chinese economy will still continue to grow in the hard times ahead.

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Post time 2013-1-18 23:21:17 |Display all floors
manoj10 Post time: 2013-1-18 23:12
Is there any statistics how much of the GDP was from real estate and construction. Most of them are  ...

I feel exports will slow down in China as manufacturing prices rise, and freight charges spiral out of control other countries will bring back their own production

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Post time 2013-1-18 23:29:21 |Display all floors
This post was edited by manoj10 at 2013-1-19 05:34
1584austin Post time: 2013-1-18 20:21
I feel exports will slow down in China as manufacturing prices rise, and freight charges spiral ou ...

China cannot sustain all of the manufacturing sector. There is already a trend of migration of manufacturing companies out of China. However China would still serve as a major manufacturing hub.

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Post time 2013-1-19 02:38:14 |Display all floors
manoj10 Post time: 2013-1-18 23:29
China cannot sustain all of the manufacturing sector. There is already a trend of migration of com ...

Well, freight charges are increasing all the time.
Volume charges......I am importing products loose and packing in UK now, it halves my volume freight charge

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Post time 2013-1-19 08:29:02 |Display all floors
manoj10 Post time: 2013-1-19 00:12
Is there any statistics how much of the GDP was from real estate and construction. Most of them are  ...

Since real estate and construction took back seats in 2012 the number certainly was much lower than in previous years.

It is interesting to know that - for instance  - Japan would GDP-wise be in negative territory hadn't it continuously (since two decades) used construction (infrastructure) business to keep a growth rate  above the zero mark. Personally I believe that  it's part of a government's duty to create infrastructure improvements. Look at the U.S. or India where new infrastructure projects do not lift off or are limited because of scarcity or non availability of funds. The results are there for everybody to see.

Last but not least - China's economic system is ideal for creating a modern society and country. I cannot think of any better system to achieve these goals.

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Post time 2013-1-21 12:23:19 |Display all floors
satsu_jin Post time: 2013-1-19 08:29
Since real estate and construction took back seats in 2012 the number certainly was much lower tha ...

Commissar Satsu

In Japan, they invest heavily on TRANSPORTATION and INFRASTRUCTURE.
That create credit.
But the AGEING population in Japan means people tend to SAVE MONEY rather than SPEND MONEY.
That creates a problem.

IS THERE estate taxes in Japan?
If that's true, JAPAN government will be coming into a LOT OF CASH in the next decades!

Cheerios!

Green DRagon
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