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India to choke China [Copy link] 中文

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Post time 2010-8-5 08:43:52 |Display all floors
Military planners in India are eyeing a crucial junction of the world which serves as the conduit for 80 per cent of China's imported oil.

The Strait of Malacca, where the Indian Ocean joins the Pacific, is seen as China's Achilles' heel. These shipping lanes, vital for Beijing's energy supplies, could be the setting for any future confrontation between India and China.

The two giant powers are long-standing rivals who share a disputed 2,100-mile border and are waging a diplomatic struggle for influence in Asia. They fought a border war in 1962, which ended in victory for China and left Beijing in control of 16,500 square miles of territory claimed by India.

Both countries are increasing their defence budgets, with India's military spending rising by an average of 18 per cent in each of the past three years and now exceeding £15?billion.

If these tensions were ever to boil over into war, India would probably exploit a crucial advantage. Its navy, which eventually plans to deploy three aircraft carriers and two nuclear-powered attack submarines, would probably seek to close the Strait of Malacca to Chinese shipping through an increased presence. By cutting off the supply of oil, this could cripple China and prove the decisive move in any conflict.

"The most likely flashpoint would be along the border, but ultimately the decision in any war would be on the ocean," said Sheru Thapliyal, a retired Indian general in New Delhi who once commanded a division on the frontier with China.

"The Indian Ocean is where we could use our advantage to the maximum. If you want to choke China, the only way you can choke China is by using naval power."

With China's key vulnerability in mind, India has constructed a naval base within striking distance of the Strait of Malacca at Port Blair on the Andaman Islands. China has countered by installing military facilities of its own, complete with electronic monitoring and eavesdropping devices, on the nearby Coco Islands. These specks of land belong to Burma, a long-standing ally of China.

Beijing is now taking other steps to address what President Hu Jintao has called the country's "Malacca dilemma". With hugely ambitious infrastructure projects, China hopes to bypass the Strait of Malacca and eventually end its dependence on this vulnerable waterway for energy supplies.

On India's western flank, China is helping to build a new port in the Pakistani town of Gwadar. Thrust together by their shared rivalry with India, Pakistan and China are old allies.

Gwadar could eventually provide a base for Chinese warships. Or it may be used as the starting point for a pipeline travelling through Pakistan and carrying oil and gas into China itself. If so, Beijing could import energy from the Middle East using this route, bypassing the Strait of Malacca.

The same rationale may explain China's actions on India's eastern flank. A new port and pipeline terminal are being constructed at Kyauk Phyu on Burma's island of Ramree. This will be the starting point for a 900-mile pipeline, able to carry oil directly to Kunming, the capital of Yunnan province in southern China.

"They know that we could attempt to choke them completely and that's why they want these ports," said Vijay Kapoor, a retired general in New Delhi and former commandant of the Indian Army War College. "Their aim in all of this is to prevent us from being able to choke them."

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Post time 2010-8-5 10:31:42 |Display all floors

Quite neutral

When two tigers fight, one is sure to lose.

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Post time 2010-8-5 11:46:13 |Display all floors

Reply #1 communistsec's post

well, that would only TRUE if China decides to import all it's crude oil via the Arab states!

otherwise it's quite a futile effort by INS, USN or any other fleets!
currently it's the overland pipelines from probably Persia, Central Asia, and Russia!
most of the crude oil from Africa or Latin America could take a longer route to China via the Pacific ocean!

no matter, it does seems CHINA is financing and supplying proxies, in Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Pakistan and Myanmar, BUT i think it's "dual purpose", first the "neighbours of India" worry about the big US$45 billion a year India Military - would welcome China's aid of JET, SHIPS to bolster their national defenses!

In fact, all those states uses CHINA made Jets, Naval Ships!
Probably given FREE OF CHARGE by China!
This kind of geopolitical calculations has a life of it's own!  

With China's economy now 5x versus India's!
It's pretty unlikely for India to be able to OUTARM the neighbouring proxies!
pretty futile action by India!

ha ha ha

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Post time 2010-8-5 11:50:29 |Display all floors

Just like the Asian Trade Route states

......has build up a fleet of 1,300 jets with performance equal or better than F-16's to surround China..

China could do the same with the FC-1 export jet for Myanmar, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka! The large air force is a good deterrent to "expansionist" or "unfriendly activity" of regional big powers!

It's probably "healthy" geo politics that allow poor states to afford a defensive punch!

ha ha ha

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Post time 2010-8-5 11:53:03 |Display all floors

The American Regime is also facing the same

......at it's borders!

Canada, Cuba, Venezeula and in future probably Mexico will be armed with "potent" jets. This time it's the EU, and the Russians that are providing the needed AIR POWER against a "unfriendly" American Regime!

There are probably 500 jets better than F-16 in Canada, Cuba, Venezeula!

hmmmmm

cheerios!

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Post time 2010-8-5 13:21:28 |Display all floors
Originally posted by Shinely at 2010-8-4 18:31
When two tigers fight, one is sure to lose.


In Chinese, how we say it is like this: One forest (mountain) can not allow/sustain two deadly and vicious tigers.  India is dependent on America for its strength and for its survival and like all American dependents before her, India, too, will die a horrible death in the hand that feeds her.
Putin's a killer. This was the claim made by Fox News journalist; Bill O'Reilly during his recent interview with Donald Trump. Trump's reply came in the form of a simple question. What, you think our country's so innocent?

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Post time 2010-8-5 13:29:56 |Display all floors

Reply #6 edisonone's post

China and India is on different hills!
It's just the Marshal clans trying to convince their states to increase military spending!

ha ha ha


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