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Oil, ad nauseum...|
Of course it is in the interest of USofA to mediate on behalf of S.E.Asian countries against China.
S.E.Asian countries like Vietnam, Brunei, Malaysia, Taiwan, Indonesia and the Philippines make territorial claims in South China Sea, where they believe there is oil.
It is a political bonanza for USofA if these S.E.Asian countries were beholden to it for helping them to make their territorial claims and offering them military support in case the anaemic PLA-Navy intervenes. It is much easier for USofA to deal with these small S.E.Asian countries than with China.
China can of course dial up the intensity of guerrilla warfares in these S.E.Asian countries so that any outright annexation will become self-defeating. They are no models of economic and social stability
But yes, absolutely, no two ways about it. PLA-Navy is too weak to make much of a difference.
Blind Freddie could see that coming. Should be interesting.
Si vis pacem, para bellum or as Teddy Roosevelt put it: "Speak softly and carry a big stick; you will go far".
China Warns U.S. Against Wading Into Islands Dispute
By ANDREW JACOBS
Published: July 26, 2010
BEIJING — The Chinese government reacted angrily on Monday to an announcement by Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton that Washington might step into a long-simmering territorial dispute between China and its smaller neighbors in the South China Sea.
Speaking Friday during a forum of Southeast Asian countries in Vietnam, Mrs. Clinton apparently surprised Beijing by saying the United States had a “national interest” in seeking to mediate the dispute, which involves a smattering of 200 islands, islets and coral outcroppings that are claimed by China, Vietnam, Brunei, Malaysia, Taiwan, Indonesia and the Philippines.
( Cestmoi: Of course it is in the interest of USofA if these S.E.Asian countries are beholden to it for their territorial claims, especially where there is oil. But they should also think about the consequences. USofA is stretched militarily. )
Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi of China warned the United States against wading into the conflict, saying it would increase regional tensions.