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First, there is no member of this BBS who respects China's military more than Kiwi does. Everyone else here is so blindingly ignorant of China's capabilities that they are guilty of nothing more than swooning adoration.
The reality of war with the US for China over T.ai.wan is that the US must merely deny China access to the island.This is, in fact, a relatively easy task. There will be no ground war, there will be relatively few US soldiers exposed to Chinese forces. The US anti-missile systems are adequate to eliminate China's missile arsenal, requiring China to rely on brute force tactics to sink any major craft, drastically reducing stockpiles. Moreover, China relies on imports of raw materials and food. The US can and will deny these things to China by blocking sea lanes, driving up prices in China and exposing it to the real possibility of widespread hunger within one week. In addition, the US has the ability to conduct complete littoral operations, allowing it to eliminate Chinese naval command and even placing Beijing in the line of fire. China's submarines will prove completely ineffective: they will be destroyed in short order by combined submarine, air and surface ship operations. The remainder will be without an adequate ability to pursue any objective, having lost the ability to communicate with Beijing without opening them to immediate attack.
The United States can expect complete air superiority within the first week of its entry into the conflict, by the middle of the second at a maximum. Once air superiority is achieved, the continued existence of any structure in China is purely at the will of the US Air Force. If China decided to pursue sustained operations (though I don't see how it could since, it will be looking at low levels of food by this point), the US can exacerbate all internal issues by severing transportation and communications links.
As to Tong, his nuclear speculations are simply not worthy of response.