- Registration time
- Last login
- Online time
- 3251 Hour
- Reading permission
A: So now an interim deal that is actually a truce gets buried before it is even sealed by a tweet that demands there must be a total deal or there be no deal.|
B: But that's just chumpy Trump for you. When he announced that, did he know one of his hawkish advisors had just earlier said if there is no total deal, decoupling would result even if there be no Cold War 2.0 which was mentioned in the same breathy threat?
In other words, despite denying that's their final intention, their final intention is to decouple the US from China totally in which they will ratchet up total tariffs and more technology sanctions, then follow up with financial markets sanctions.
But do they even know the result of trying to decouple two of the world's biggest economies? Do they even know what they are talking about in that egg room let alone coordinate their narrative to show they are on the same page among themselves?
A: For the interim deal, China has agreed to buy some US agro-products. In response, the US has only agreed to delay the additional tariffs by two weeks.
But, of course, that's a bluff offer because container ships would take more than that time to reach US ports and when they do, the tariffs would take effect again so there's no concession.
B: Exactly. How should any country let alone China respond to destructive threats softened only with empty responses? There is probably no one on this planet who is not already fatigued by Trump's antics.
However the looming global tragedy is this - he may actually unleash a total trade war on China despite knowing well enough such a move to cause the inevitable economic decoupling will hurt his US inasmuch other countries.
In fact, there is not a single trading nation in the world which is not hurt by the US hurting China.
A: One suspects he himself realizes he has achieved nothing positive either domestic or foreign so far for his presidency.
For instance, the one-time tax relief he initiated has only ballooned his country's debt and its impetus has receded which would explain his urgency to reduce the US interest rate.
He cannot claim credit when the US economy was only benefiting from previous economic policies which are however now raising the specter of cyclical downturns catalyzed by his trade war as already seen in the slowdown of the US manufacturing sector that had started him down the road of tariffs.
You know, his tariffs on China are paid by american consumers and assemblers besides giving an opportunity to other non-tariffed countries to raise their export prices to his US since they (a) know US consumers will buy on the basis on inelastic demand from wherever what have been displaced, and (b) they need to earn more now to cover their market loss in the future when the US will tariff them in turn for having a trade surplus with the US. Therefore, is it any wonder since Trump became potus, the US trade deficit with the world has increased by 17% instead?
Judging from their irresponsible threats, the US hawks already know all this as well. They are only shrink-wrapping themselves in their own pressure chamber which would explain why they continue to lash out irrationally and make threats which have irresponsibly hurt major economies in the world - in one bet that China would buckle first.
But they are playing an ego game of chicken - which however has been losing its plumes to the depths of international irresponsibility for the agenda of personal aggrandizement.
Think about this - any country which buckles to the US hegemon today will be blackmailable, and can be threatened with 200-page demand draft agreements by it whenever they don't do what the US wants and by whichever party running it. In short, forever.
To Trump's supporters and sycophants, the only meaning of Maga translates as "i can hit you but you cannot hit me in retaliation". Might as well tie up the hands and machine-gun into the river. But then again, does anyone in the US realize the significance of what has just been mentioned here?
It is imperial overreach, sovereign servitude, and vassalage. It is dictatorship despite all its blandishments about democracy and freedom. It is not just destruction of human freedom but also tangential leverage on sovereign independence of other nations. And given the US' horrendous record of waging wars with heavy collateral damage on innocents, it is also a hypocritical humanitarian disaster by one which has arrogated itself as peace-keeper but apparently not peace-maker. Indeed, behold the US of A today.
B: The problem started because of the word 'deal'. Trump wanted a deal which means he was at first approaching the matter as transactional, namely, this-for-that. One suspects, it's also the shortest word he knows, and thus remember.
Then he raised the ante midway and it became existential threats bordering on national security to trigger sanctions and exclusions.
Now it is to be direct interference in the internal affairs of another country in order to control its economic and operating models, and direction and rate of progress with view to collecting charges, fees and oversight incomes in perpetuity besides holding it to ransom for any sign of independence.
But looking at what the US had done to Russia, Japan, Libya, Venezuela, Chile, Vietnam, Philippines and HongKong SAR amongst others, that's massively dangerous.
A: Yes, 'deal' is passive and short-termish. 'Relationship' is active and long-termish. Exercising a wiser perspective, a deal is only ephemeral and transitory. And, more importantly, no deal can be possible if it does not sit inside a relationship.
And no relationship leading to a deal can ever be done and sustained if one side makes threats on the other.
It only shows narcissistic domination and the US has quickly devolved from crewcut schoolyard bully to backalley canine attack dog.
What Trump and his ilk have done is to destroy a forty-year relationship in the hope of sealing a short-term deal in their favor that humiliates and threatens a 5,000-year old civilization without even making an attempt to update themselves on what have already been done by way of reforms let alone understanding the rationale behind why some of the challenges needs more time and accumulated achievements in order to be tackled by a country bigger, older, prouder, more precise, and wiser.
B: That the US refuses to see that must be attributed to some other agenda which would also explain its sudden subscription to unilateralist supremacy.
And it is showing this by controlling its north american neighbours of Canada and Mexico, cowing its post-WWII vassals of France and Germany, and stroking its lackeys in the UK and Poland - so that, with the entire Western Hemisphere under its thumbs, it can swing over to maintain locked-and-loaded military power in the Middle East in order to leverage the Sunni's of the arab world against the Shites of Iran so as to control the oil pigots that fuel the industries of the world. Hence the attempt to overthrow Venezuela after the sanctioning of Russia, both major oil-producers.
And all that for? To keep the Eastern Hemisphere divided and contained, and thus beholden to the US. Why? Because the future of this new century is in the Eastern Hemisphere where the populations are bigger, the industries are more hardworking, innovative and dynamic, and the economies and markets have the largest potential for growth, progress and sustainment of innovation.
After all, he who has been ahead after the british empire will want to maintain advantage over others by suppressive fire, asymmetric trickery and sanctimonious hubris.
A: Yet, US multinationals in China have continued to achieve super-normal revenue growths of 20% per annum despite the trade war started by Trump and almost all those surveyed said they have not been forced to transfer IP. Yet, no bellyaching US citizen has shown the remotest interest in the facts that China has been paying the most for IP royalties all these years in tandem with progress in her IP legal protection provisions. If she has been massively stealing as was alleged, why even bother with paying billions in US dollars and punishing defaulters? Now, shall we also talk about Xinjiang, HongKong SAR, 9-dashed line, surveillance and social credit, 100-year marathon, etc?!
B: What's the point? They have already made up their prejudiced minds to tar and tarnish China and any country which does not toe their line and satisfy their personal agendas. Not wanting to accept the consequence of their decisions, they are just playing their game of brinkmanship to satisfy their bloodlust for global power and supremacy.
A: Game? I know one better. Carlsen < Liren Sinalesque 2019 rapid-chess championship. In a most marvelous strategic conception, Ding won the attack by first sacrificing his Queen and then - retreating two pieces.
B: Ah! out comes my trusty chessboard. Jusr heard from an american that China plays "go". But Trump eats its pebbles instead. What do you think?
A: Ah, too. But i rely on facts only. It can't be true. Or, can it?