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What will be the outcome of US-Sino trade war? [Copy link] 中文

Rank: 4

Post time 2018-7-24 13:13:07 |Display all floors
A poster in a political forum claimed that China will lose in a trade war with the US, and he suspected the trade war will be brief.  Please give your reasons whether you agree with him.

Excerpts from the poster's thread follow:

(Begin excerpts)
In order to win a trade war, you have to either be even with the other country, or have a trade deficit with them. The one thing you can't have is a trade surplus.

If you have a trade surplus, you don't have any leverage to use tariffs against the other country. And the bigger the trade surplus, the less leverage (or trade war power) you have. In China's case, their surplus is gigantic.

China exports 6 times as much $tuff to the US, as vice versa.  So this is like 2 people putting up money for something. One puts up $10, the other $60. The $60 guy has a lot more to lose.  (End excerpts)


Donald Trump's infamous Hitler-style rabble-rousing chants:  "Lock her up!  Lock her up!"

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Post time 2018-7-27 12:20:15 |Display all floors
Russia already said thank you to the US for getting sanctioned.
Since then, Russia's farmers and producers are laughing to the bank.  That Russian produced cheese is as good as the imported stuff and people are happy with their newly created jobs.

  At the end of the day, American people will suffer and will force their Senators to make peace with China again.
   You'll simply have to stop this trade war or a lot of politicians will be looking for a job...

    I know, your media will be gagged to fool your own people...  

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Post time 2018-7-30 15:49:41 |Display all floors
1.  Donald Trump tweeted his simplistic view on trade wars on 2 March 2018.

"When a country (USA) is losing many billions of dollars on trade with virtually every country it does business with, trade wars are good, and easy to win. Example, when we are down $100 billion with a certain country and they get cute, don’t trade anymore-we win big. It’s easy!"

2.  Up to now, I am still waiting for the refutation of that poster's false premise (which was mentioned in my earlier post) that China has no room to manoeuvre in a trade war with the US.
Donald Trump's infamous Hitler-style rabble-rousing chants:  "Lock her up!  Lock her up!"

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Post time 2018-7-31 00:03:19 |Display all floors
emanreus Post time: 2018-7-27 12:20
Russia already said thank you to the US for getting sanctioned.
Since then, Russia's farmers and pr ...
That Russian produced cheese is as good as the imported stuff and people are happy with their newly created jobs.


Haha!! Have you been to Moscow recently? I have. The food there is absolute crap. ESPECIALLY the cheese! Like cheap american jack cheese is better... the russian stuff had this plastic like shine and non-existent taste...



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Post time 2018-7-31 06:57:31 |Display all floors
Trade War Casualties: Factories Shifting Out Of China

Now that trade tariffs have been enacted on at least $50 billion worth of goods, and another $200 billion likely by summer's end, Chinese factories are shifting to southeast Asia. It's happening.

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Post time 2018-8-1 04:11:27 |Display all floors
As long as US tech got purged from China, even if China lose trade war that's fine.
No more Intel/Windows at school and government branch

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Post time 2018-8-1 05:14:46 |Display all floors
Surprise: Don’t count on American farmers voting for Democrats in the midterm elections. Of the handful spoken to over the last week that have a horse in the race in November, the Republican gets their vote.
Despite 25% tariffs imposed on their soybeans by the Chinese government in retaliation for U.S. tariffs, soy farmers have already picked sides. The winner is Trump, though no one in farm country is giving him a standing ovation for his trade war with the Chinese.

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