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If Donald Trump Pushes on Taiwan, How China Could Push Back   [Copy link] 中文

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Post time 2016-12-13 09:20:28 |Display all floors

The Foreign Ministry urged US president-elect Donald Trump on Monday to act prudently on the Taiwan question to avoid "serious damage to the Sino-US relationship", after Trump once again publicly provoked China.

Beijing could react with countermeasures in trade and regional issues, if Trump keeps challenging the time-tested one-China policy, which is the diplomatic cornerstone of relations between the world's two biggest economies, Chinese experts said.

In a Fox News broadcast on Sunday, Trump said the United States does not necessarily have to stick to its long-standing position that Taiwan is part of "one China", challenging the consensus that the two countries have upheld for nearly four decades.

Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang said on Monday that the one-China policy is the political foundation of the Sino-US relationship, and if this foundation is broken, Sino-US cooperation in key areas would have no basis.

"We urge the new US administration and its leader to fully understand the high sensitivity of the Taiwan question," Geng said at a regularly scheduled news conference. Geng said the Taiwan question must be handled in a prudent and proper manner to avoid serious damage to Sino-US ties.

State Councilor Yang Jiechi, China's top diplomat, met with Trump's transitional team, including Lieutenant General Michael T. Flynn, whom Trump has designated as his national security adviser, in New York when Yang made his recent Latin American trip, Geng said. They exchanged opinions on "important issues that concerned both sides", he said.

Trump's comments came after he prompted a sharp objection from China over his decision to accept a telephone call on Dec 2 from Taiwan leader Tsai Ing-wen. It was the first time a US president or president-elect has publicly spoken to a Taiwan leader in nearly four decades.

According to a report by Singapore-based, Joseph Wu, a senior security official for Taiwan, and David Lee, a senior diplomat for Taiwan, will travel to the US amid enhanced communications between the United States and the island.

Shi Yinhong, a professor of international relations at Renmin University of China, said that China could send a "strong response" and "at least downgrade its diplomatic level with the US" if the Trump-led administration continued to challenge the one-China policy.

If the US government under Trump provoked China on territorial sovereignty, the US should not expect to get the cooperation from China on major international issues, he said.

China could also take a more aggressive stance regarding US navigation patrols in the South China Sea, where it has so far restricted itself to verbal warnings and restrained actions, he added.

China also has a large amount of US debt, and China is also the largest export market for US agricultural products. If Trump makes irrational moves, China could take countermeasures in economic and trade areas, said Li Ruogu, former chairman of the Export-Import Bank of China.

Li said the Chinese government has to be prepared since China should not attach its hopes to what Trump might or might not do.

Dong Chunling, a researcher on US studies at the China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations, said that through provocation on the Taiwan question, Trump wants to gain more leverage for his foreign policy after assuming the presidency next month.

"If the basis of the China-US relationship is undermined, the economic and trade cooperation between the two countries will be affected, which will impact the US economy and employment," he said.(news from China Daily)

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Post time 2016-12-13 10:21:15 |Display all floors
Put it also to Tsai what she wants to do about the usd100 million trade surplus the island has with Mainland in addition to the billions of yuan of other investments. Let it be a chinese-to-chinese solution of an american-to-chinese mischief. The world will note the art of the solution - when someone exerts his anger on you but you don't receive it, the anger remains with him.

And if Tsai hangs onto the coat-tails of Trump's rednecks, seventy percent of the island's economy will tank in forty eight hours and that's before the takeover in one week. Trump responds with his Pacific fleet blockade? Hypersonic ramjet missiles and sub hunters.

In the four decades of One-China, peace and prosperity. With one phone call and an interview, saber-rattling. Who but by a mischief-maker who knows nuts about geopolitics but wants to use it to crowbar trade and investment benefits? If the region is sundered, how can there be trade? So much of the market prosperity of his business cronies and other economies have been due to the rise of China.

Why rock the gunboats again?

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Post time 2016-12-13 16:04:10 |Display all floors
.. it may not be the same boat anymore if the russianite Tellerson as the new secstate tilts Putin away enabling Trump to drone off Isis and crosshairs "sigh".

Unless our judo friend says "sigh" must not be ruffled because a strong "sigh" protects his backyard. know, the gaussian copula has vanished.

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Post time 2016-12-14 09:09:06 |Display all floors
markwu Post time: 2016-12-13 16:04
.. it may not be the same boat anymore if the russianite Tellerson as the new secstate tilts Putin a ...

Russia could be Trumps friend not China's

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Post time 2016-12-15 03:40:47 |Display all floors
If China wishes US approval for the reunification of Taiwan it should get rid of the Kim regime and the nuclear weapons in DPRK. This is entirely within China's power. Why should we in the West do anything to help China unless it takes its responsibility for its puppet DPRK? I agree Taiwan should be part of China. But China needs to assume the full responsibilities of being a world power. I am frustrated by this "Nine-Dash-Line" childishness while neglecting a clean-up of North Korea. This is no way to get respect or promote peace. Time for the CPC to grow up!
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Post time 2016-12-15 12:33:25 |Display all floors
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Post time 2016-12-15 17:31:01 |Display all floors
Why should the Chinese and Koreans have to die just because Trump wants to contain China by proxy influence on a Taiwan which no average american including his voters would want to die for?

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