Author: abramicus

The Mathematics of War Needs to be Understood to Preserve the Peace.   [Copy link] 中文

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Post time 2014-8-9 19:51:33 |Display all floors
abramicus Post time: 2014-8-9 18:25
As for the major players, the regime of MAD still holds, and none would want to have a major confli ...

China simply should go the legal and peaceful way to assert her claim.

No need to use or to threaten force, no need to intimidate and provoke.

Until now Japan only reacts to China, but they do not intend to start a war.

China knows that, but it's propaganda wants to make the world believe otherwise.

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Post time 2014-8-10 08:44:24 |Display all floors
NgTran Post time: 2014-8-9 19:51
China simply should go the legal and peaceful way to assert her claim.

No need to use or to threa ...

Ng Tran, the only legal framework that exists for adjudication of matters of sovereignty is a body that is acceptable to both parties, which effectively excludes ITLOS as its judicial panel is subject to political influence by third parties.  The UNCLOS excludes matters of sovereignty by its own articles.  The Philippines is trying to steal Huangyan, and the Spratly islands, under the cover of legality, knowing it has the jury stacked up in its favor.  China has the right to reject such a jury however.  So stop pretending you are not stealing sovereign territories of China by appealing to a stacked and partial court system that you know your foreign patrons can influence to your benefit.  This is hypocrisy for a "Christian nation".  Rather, the Philippines should engage China in a business deal where it can benefit from the exploitation of the natural resources in these Chinese territories, under generous conditions.  Even this, NgTran, is already very difficult, given how the pro-democracy advocates have soured Chinese opinion against the Philippines due to the unintentional but nevertheless unsavory bungling of the hostage situation several years ago in which eight Hong Kong residents were killed by a renegade Filipino policeman.  Your foreign backers have actually made it very difficult for China to grant your private investors generous terms in the exploitation of its sovereign territories that you thought belonged to you but did not.  Recent Vietnamese attacks on Chinese factories in Vietnam have also made economic concessions by China much more difficult.  Add to this the fact that some SOEs officials probably abraided the pride of neighboring countries in the hope of inflaming border conflicts that distract the Central Government from investigating their corruption.  There are many obstacles to peace, including from your own foreign-backed kibitzers who insist, against historical reality, that the Spratly islands belong to the Philippines, who even appear "very patriotic" to your government.  Beware these Yes-men whose loyalty belongs elsewhere.  Check on their foreign assets.

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Post time 2014-8-10 13:32:19 |Display all floors
You don't need math to know the U.S. has been the biggest military aggressor since WWII.
If capitalism promotes innovation and creativity then why aren't scientists and artists the richest people in a capitalist nation?

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Post time 2014-8-10 13:46:31 |Display all floors
Yup, blame all the woes of the world on the US:
We started WWI
We started WWII
We started the Korean War
We started the Vietnam War
We started the Gulf War
We started every war in every Country since 1900.
Get a life BOB
I'm just here for the money

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Post time 2014-8-10 15:07:31 |Display all floors
This post was edited by nihao567 at 2014-8-10 15:17
abramicus Post time: 2014-8-9 18:17
This is why the mathematical model of the current status quo of conflict by proxies has to be a pr ...

But probabilities still involve some kind of guesswork, don't they? How's that different from trying to predict something? If you say it is probable a certain event will happen, you are still doing guesswork....perhaps intelligent guesswork, but it's still guessing.

The future is unpredictable because of people's free will. If the whole world wanted peace right now, we could have it. But do people really want peace? Look at what another thread was suggesting: peace is boring.

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Post time 2014-8-10 15:16:34 |Display all floors
nihao567 Post time: 2014-8-10 15:07
But probabilities still involve some kind of guesswork, don't they? How's that different from tryi ...

Stick to the theme and avoid trying to distract.  Your intentions are becoming clearer, less probabilistic, so to speak, while your statements are sounding more and more like guesswork!

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Post time 2014-8-10 15:19:39 |Display all floors
abramicus Post time: 2014-8-10 15:16
Stick to the theme and avoid trying to distract.  Your intentions are becoming clearer, less proba ...

How am I off topic? You're talking about probabilistic models. Don't these involve probabilities?

Just because you don't understand what I'm saying, doesn't mean I'm guessing. The second part of my post is what I believe. If you don't believe it, just say so. I'm not guessing anything. That's what you're doing, read your original post.

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