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Carbon tax hallucinations [Copy link] 中文

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Post time 2013-2-20 05:14:14 |Display all floors
This post was edited by sansukong at 2013-2-20 04:42

Part: 1 of 2

                                                                                                                                                                                                              Carbon tax hallucinations
                                                                                                                                                             Posted on February 17, 2013 by Guest Blogger                                                                                                                                       

                                                                                                                                                                       

Carbon Tax = SCAM (Photo credit: peace chicken)

Carbon taxes will do nothing for revenues or climate, but will hurt job and economic growth  Guest post by Paul DriessenAverage planetary temperatures haven’t budged in 16 years. Hurricanes and strong tornadoes are at or near their lowest ebb in decades. Global sea ice is back to normal, Arctic ice is nearly normal, and the Antarctic icepack continues to grow. The rate of sea level rise remains what it was in 1900.

And yet, President Obama and many politicians, newscasters and alarmist scientists continue to insist that carbon dioxide emissions are changing Earth’s climate, and we need to take immediate action to prevent storms like Hurricane Sandy and avert catastrophes predicted by IPCC computer models and alleged “scientific consensus.” Not surprisingly, polls show public support for controlling CO2 output and taxing hydrocarbon use – to “ensure climate security” and “save vital federal programs” from budgetary axes.As the liberal lobby Think Progress put it, people “overwhelmingly” prefer a carbon tax on “big polluters” versus cuts in favorite programs “like education, Social Security, Medicare and environmental protection.” Five-alarm climate claims, skewed polling questions and phony taxes-versus-grandma budget alternatives will almost always ensure support for carbon taxes – especially among Bigger Government and Ban Fossil Fuels constituencies. More rational analysis reveals that dreams of hundred-billion-dollar windfalls from slapping regressive new taxes on job creation and economic growth are nothing more than dangerous tax revenue hallucinations. They would bring intense pain for no climate or economic gain.Employing Energy Information Administration data, a recent Heritage Foundation studyby economists David Kreutzer and Nicolas Loris found that a tax starting at $25-per-ton of CO2 emitted and increasing by 5% per year would cut a family of four’s income by $1,400 annually, raise their utility bills by $500 a year, and increase gasoline fill-ups by up to 50 cents per gallon. That’s $2,000 a year chopped from their budget for food, vacations, home and car payments and repairs, college and retirement savings, dental and medical care, and overall quality of life.Even “millionaire” families making $200,000 a year would find such a hit painful. While the poorest families might get some offsetting tax relief, most would get nothing – nor would employers.Carbon taxes would thus increase the likelihood that many breadwinners will end up unemployed, since the tax would raise business energy costs dramatically, force companies to trim hours and/or employees, and result in an aggregate loss of at least 1 million jobs by 2016, Heritage notes. That would bring more home foreclosures, greater stress, reduced nutrition, and more strokes and heart attacks, especially for older workers whose odds of finding new employment are increasingly bleak.

No small businesses or energy-intensive manufacturing companies would get a rebate for their soaring carbon taxes. Nor would any mall, hospital, school, church, synagogue or charity group.Hydrocarbons provide over 83% of all the energy that powers America. A carbon tax would put a hefty surcharge on everything we make, grow, ship, eat and do. It would put the federal government in control of, not just one-sixth of our economy as under Obamacare, but 100% of our economy and lives. It would make the United States increasingly less productive, less competitive globally, less able to provide opportunities for our childrenBut it gets worse, because this tax on America’s energy and productivity is not being promoted in a vacuum. It would be imposed on top of countless other job and economy strangling actions.President Obama’s Environmental Protection Agency has already issued 2,071 new rules and dispensed a regulatory burden of over $353 billion per year – equal to all wealth generated annually by Virginia’s private sector. It is now preparing still more rules, the most crushing of which would regulate the same CO2 emissions that some in Congress want to tax, from both moving and stationary sources. Most, if not all of its punitive rules, are based on exaggerated risks, fear mongering, junk science, and illusory health, welfare, “environmental justice” and “sustainability” benefits.
to be continued .........






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Post time 2013-2-20 05:15:30 |Display all floors

RE: Carbon tax hallucinations



Part: 2 of 2


Carbon tax hallucinations


Other agencies are inflicting still more rules, and more crushing paperwork burdens. Obamacare alone will add 127,602,371 more hours per year to the federal paperwork burden for American businesses and families. That’s enough time to carve 1,039 Mount Rushmore monuments, says the Washington Examiner. Even at $25 per hour, that’s $32 billion a year. On top of that, there are the Dodd-Frank financial requirements and myriad other costly, time-consuming, economy-sapping, job-killing rules.

Nothing at all suggests that Congress would reverse or modify even one of these laws, regulations and taxes, as part of a carbon tax deal – or that Mr. Obama would refrain from vetoing any attempted change. Nothing whatsoever suggests that Congress, the President or environmentalists will ease their opposition to issuing leases and drilling and fracking permits for more of our vast onshore and offshore oil and gas deposits, which could generate millions of jobs and billions in royalties and tax revenues. Or that they won’t ultimately enact a punitive cap-and-trade law on top of all of this.

Instead of real energy for real jobs and revenues, President Obama wants to redouble spending on “green” energy – extracting billions of dollars from still productive sectors of our economy, and transferring the money to crony corporatists and campaign contributors, whose operations are exempted from endangered species and other laws that are imposed routinely and punitively on oil, mining and other companies.

Meanwhile, federal “discretionary” spending skyrocketed another $129 billion annually in just four years under Obama. That’s comparable to what carbon tax snake oil salesmen claim a $25-per-ton tax would raise each year, several years into a steadily escalating tax, using static analyses that ignore all these “concrete lifesaver” effects.

The CBO Congressional Budget Office says the US economy will grow by a miserly 1.4%for the next several years, and official unemployment will remain stuck at 7.5% (plusextensive involuntary underemployment and people who have given up looking). Washington Post economics analyst Neil Irwin worries that the United States doesn’t just have a $1-trillion budget deficit. Largely because of government restrictions, regulations, red tape and taxes, it also has a $1-trillion “output gap,” between what it is capable of producing and what it actually produces.

To top it off, if Congress and the White House get more money, they will spend more money!

The net result of a carbon tax will not be new federal revenues. It will be more economic strangulation, a more bloated federal bureaucracy, more layoffs, sharply higher unemployment, food stamp and welfare payouts, reduced corporate and personal income tax receipts – and thus reduced federal revenues.

And for what? The Kyoto Protocol is dead. Japan and many other countries are rejecting any new binding emission targets. China, India, other rapidly developing nations, and even Germany and Europe are burning more coal, emitting more carbon dioxide, and sending atmospheric CO2 levels higher.

And yet, average planetary temperatures show no trend up or down, and global hurricane activity stands at a near-record low. There’s no change in big tornadoes, droughts or rains averaged over the USA for the past century. Polar sea ice is down slightly in the Northern Hemisphere, but up in the Southern. And sea levels show no measurable deviation from trends over the last hundred years.

The only thing that will happen if carbon taxes are inflicted on the US economy is that American jobs, economic growth, living standards, health, dreams and lives will be sacrificed for nothing.

We need to stop basing laws and policies on hallucinations – and start basing them on reality.

_____________

Paul Driessen is senior policy advisor for the Committee For A Constructive Tomorrow (www.CFACT.org) and author of Eco-Imperialism: Green power – Black death.




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Post time 2013-2-20 08:45:46 |Display all floors
Its not a hallucinations when my children and grand children have to suffer this generations out pouring of CO 2..
I've made my living, Mr. Thompson, in large part as a gambler. Some days I make twenty bets, some days I make none. There are weeks, sometimes months, in fact, when I don't make any bet at all because ...

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Post time 2013-2-20 08:46:47 |Display all floors
Its also not a hallucination when I see pictures of smog in Beijing.
I've made my living, Mr. Thompson, in large part as a gambler. Some days I make twenty bets, some days I make none. There are weeks, sometimes months, in fact, when I don't make any bet at all because ...

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Post time 2013-2-21 06:14:23 |Display all floors
Excerpt:

Climate Money

If carbon is a minor player in the global climate as the lack of evidence suggests, the  
“Climate Change Science Program” (CCSP), “Climate Change Technology Program” (CCTP),
and some of the green incentives and tax breaks would have less, little, or no reason to
exist. While forecasting the weather and climate is critical, and there are other good reasons
to develop alternative energy sources—no one can argue that the thousands of players who
received these billions of dollars have any real incentive to “announce” the discovery of the
insignificance of carbon’s role.


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Post time 2013-2-21 08:41:23 |Display all floors
No confidence how science works?


But plenty confidence lobbyists are right?
I've made my living, Mr. Thompson, in large part as a gambler. Some days I make twenty bets, some days I make none. There are weeks, sometimes months, in fact, when I don't make any bet at all because ...

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Post time 2013-2-22 12:03:51 |Display all floors


Fifteen Millennia of Climate Change in
in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River

Reference
Gu, Y., Wang, H., Huang, X., Peng, H. and Huang, J. 2012. Phytolith records of the climate change since the past 15000 years in the middle reach of the Yangtze River in China. Frontiers of Earth Science 6: 10-17.

Introducing their study, authors Gu et al. (2012) write that "the middle reach of the Yangtze River possesses abundant depositional resources (e.g. stalagmite, peatland and lake sediments)," which they indicate "are reliable information carriers for paleoclimate and paleoenvironmental reconstruction." And they add, in this regard, that "the reconstruction of long-term paleoclimate change would provide the premise for accurate prediction of the future," which is something nearly everyone would like to see. Thus, working with a sediment core extracted at Zhoulao town in China's Jianli County in AD 2000, Gu
et al[size=22.727272033691406px]. set out to reconstruct a high-resolution record of paleoclimate change over the past 15,000 years in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River. This they did via phytolith analysis, after which they compared their results with paleoclimatic indicators derived from stalagmites, peatlands, North Atlantic deep-sea sediments (Bond et al., 1997, 2001), the Loess Plateau of Central China, and Arabic Sea sediments.In discussing their findings the five Chinese scientists say they identified eight climatic phases over the course of their temperature reconstruction: the Last Glacial Maximum (20-14.8 cal ka BP), the Last Deglaciation (14.8-11.9 cal ka BP), a low temperature phase in the Early Holocene (11.9-8 cal ka BP), the Holocene Optimum (8-4.9 cal ka BP), the Holocene Katathermal (4.9-1.1 cal ka BP), the Medieval Warm Period (1.1-0.7 cal ka BP), the Little Ice Age (0.7-0.15 cal ka BP) and Modern Warming (0.15 cal ka BP-present). In addition, they discovered that the climate history of their research area had strong links with the contemporary histories of the Indian Summer Monsoon, the Asian Summer Monsoon, and the Holocene drift-ice events of the North Atlantic Ocean, which were discovered and described by Bond et al. (1997, 2001), who attributed them to solar variability. Such findings led Gu et al. to state, in no uncertain terms, in the concluding sentence of their paper, that the good correlation that exists between their climate history of the middle reaches of China's Yangtze River and the Bond events of the North Atlantic Ocean "reveals that solar activity controls the Earth surface climate system at the centennial and millennial scales".



Additional References
Bond, G., Kromer, B., Beer, J., Muscheler, R., Evans, M.N., Showers, W., Hoffmann, S., Lotti-Bond, R., Hajdas, I. and Bonani, G. 2001. Persistent solar influence on North Atlantic climate during the Holocene. Science 294: 2130-2136.
Bond, G., Showers, W., Chezebiet, M., Lotti, R., Almasi, P., deMenocal, P., Priore, P., Cullen, H., Hajdas, I. and Bonani, G. 1997. A pervasive millennial scale cycle in North-Atlantic Holocene and glacial climates. Science 278: 1257-1266.



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