Views: 6356|Replies: 15

Special envoy' to China, Japan submits?   [Copy link] 中文

Rank: 8Rank: 8

Post time 2012-12-24 09:42:03 |Display all floors
This post was edited by cd_moderator at 2012-12-24 09:42

Japan's incoming Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will send a special envoy to China, media reports said, amid tension over the Diaoyu Islands.
Beijing blasted controversial provisions on Sunday in a defense bill passed by the US Senate, which acknowledges "the administration of Japan" over the islands and urges arms sales to Taiwan.
Observers said that Abe's gesture does not mean any concessions on the islands are in the offing.
The bill passed in the US Senate, they added, will fuel regional instability and damage trust-building efforts between China and the US.

Shinzo Abe, Japan's incoming prime minister and the leader of Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), speaks during a meeting at the LDP headquarters in Tokyo December 20, 2012. [Photo/Agencies]


Abe, leader of Japan's Liberal Democratic Party will become prime minister on Dec 26.
He is considering sending LDP Vice-President Masahiko Komura, head of the Japan-China Friendship Parliamentarians' Union, to China.
"Abe's envoy plan is simply posturing, rather than an act of sincerity,'' said Lu Yaodong, from the Institute of Japanese Studies at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.
Ties were soured in September after the Japanese government illegally "purchased" part of the Diaoyu Islands.
Abe declared on Saturday that he would postpone his campaign proposal of sending government personnel to the islands, Japan's Kyodo News Agency said.
The Japanese Air Self-Defense Force sent fighter jets on Saturday to an area some 100 kilometers north of the Diaoyu Islands after a plane of China's State Oceanic Administration was spotted patrolling, according to the Japanese Defense Ministry.
On Friday, Chinese marine surveillance vessels patrolling the waters around the islands found six Japanese coast guard ships illegally entering the area, and demanded they leave at once.



Use magic tools Report

Rank: 8Rank: 8

Post time 2012-12-24 09:42:13 |Display all floors
Lu said Tokyo's hard line "has been and will be consistent".

Feng Wei, a specialist on Japanese studies at Fudan University in Shanghai, estimated that Abe's incoming Cabinet will not make a major concession due to support both within the country and from the US.

The US Senate passed the 2013 Defense Authorization Act on Friday by 81 votes to 14. It now awaits the signature of US President Barack Obama.

Though the US takes no position on the ultimate sovereignty of the Diaoyu Islands, section 1286 said "it is the sense of Congress that'' it "acknowledges the administration of Japan'' over them.

And section 1281 said, "it is the sense of Congress that ... the president should take steps to address Taiwan's shortfall in fighter aircraft, whether through the sale of F-16 C/D aircraft or other aircraft of similar capability''.

Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying said on Sunday that China is "deeply concerned and firmly opposed" to the contents concerning China in the act.

Hua said the Treaty of Mutual Cooperation and Security between the US and Japan is a "bilateral arrangement in a specific historical time'', and such a pact should not harm the interests of any third parties including China.

Dong Manyuan, vice-president of the China Institute of International Studies, said the bill shows bipartisan consensus on the islands as well as Obama's increased determination to focus more on Asia in his second term.

Tao Wenzhao, a professor of US studies at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences warned that the bill sends "erroneous signals to right-wing radical Japanese politicians who are yearning for more support from Washington to rein in China, and are undermining the strategic trust between Beijing and Washington".

As for the act's arms sales proposal, Hua, the ministry spokeswoman, said China is firmly opposed to arms sales to Taiwan by any country.

Dong said the arms sales issue is not an isolated case and outside forces may be attempting to undermine rapidly developing cross-Straits ties.

Orville Schell, director of Center on US-China Relations at Asia Society in New York, said: "My reading of the Obama administration is that they don't want this (tension between China and the US) to escalate out of control.''

The US is deeply dedicated to working out a better relationship with China, Schell added.

Chen Weihua in New York and Xinhua contributed to this story.

Contact the writer at zhangyunbi@chinadaily.com.cn

Use magic tools Report

Rank: 8Rank: 8

Post time 2012-12-24 11:53:45 |Display all floors
JAPAN WISHES TO PROJECT IT IS SEEKING PEACE WHILE ILLEGALLY STEALING CHINA'S SOVEREIGN TERRITORY.  JAPAN IS ALREADY AT WAR WITH CHINA.  THIS IS WHAT IS CALLED PSYCHOLOGICAL WARFARE IN CASE THE CHINESE LEADERS ARE UNAWARE OF WHAT IT IS.

If this works, China's troubles will multiply faster than it can defend against.  It will make the Eight Power Attack on China look like a picnic.  China has no choice but to literally bite the bullet, and carry out the Potsdam Proclamation as embodied in the Instrument of Surrender of the Japanese Empire of September 2, 1945.

Japan is trying to divide the political will of China, to both befriend and to defend against Japanese aggression.  China has no opposition party it could manipulate or you would find demonstrations in the streets by now demanding ceding Dioayudao to Japan.  Instead, Japan has to divide the CPC by using it old contacts to speak out in favor of economic gains as sufficient reason to abandon pursuit of sovereignty over Diaoyudao.  They will say, "Economic Reform is China's first priority, we should shelve the Dioayudao dispute (even if Japan is not shelving Diaoyudao but actually annexing it)."  They will insist that China should NOT change, EVEN IF JAPAN HAS CHANGED.

Use magic tools Report

Rank: 8Rank: 8

Post time 2012-12-24 11:59:31 |Display all floors
This post was edited by abramicus at 2012-12-24 12:15

JAPAN'S USE OF 8 FIGHTER JETS TO HARRASS THE CHINESE MARINE SURVEILLANCE PLANE OVER DIAOYUDAO, TWICE IN A ROW, A WEEK APART, IS A CHALLENGE TO THE PLA TO GO TO WAR.

Except, this war can only be justified in the context of the Potsdam Proclamation, and therefore, must include the Japanese mainland, not eventually, but instantly.

China needs to be prepared for the worst if it wishes to win this tiny skirmish, because it can only win strategically, not tactically.  Japan wants China to limit the war to a showdown between the local air force in Fujian and Guangzhou vs the air force in Okinawa.  China will lose if it does not widen the war to every point on the map, because only in the broadest theater does its advantage shine.

Why number of planes and number of directions, and number of points of combat, favor the technologically weaker side (China) - the same principle why guerrilla warfare by the primitive Vietnamese forces won over the technologically superior Allies.

The principle is called the N-Squared Rule.  If m is the technological superiority of a unit, and n is the number of units, then the total fighting capacity of the total units is equal to m*n^2 if the theater is a flat 2-D space on land, at sea or in the air.  For example, if you line up 100 soldiers of A that have shorter range weapons, and face them off against a line of 10 soldier of B, and if they advance in parallel to each other, they are equally matched.  But, if they are arranged end to end, the B solidiers will win because all the A soldiers will be wiped out by the greater range of their weapons.  Numbers win over technology if the direction of battle is extended to 2 or 3 dimensions, because the advantage to numbers rises by the power of 2 or 3, enough to compensate for all technological deficiencies.  A fight between a string of planes from China and Japan all headed toward a point on the map, Dioayudao, favors the technologically advanced Japanese planes.  But a swarm of planes from the entire coast of China toward the entire coast of Japan favors China as long as China has more planes than japan.

Use magic tools Report

Post time 2012-12-24 12:29:17 |Display all floors
Reminder: Author is prohibited or removed, and content is automatically blocked

Use magic tools Report

Rank: 8Rank: 8

Post time 2012-12-24 15:27:56 |Display all floors
CHINA'S NAVY AND AIR FORCE MAY ACTUALLY BE WEAKER THAN IT WISHES TO ADMIT TO ITS OWN PEOPLE

When the Huangyan incident erupted due to the Philippines unilaterally trying to arrest two Chinese fishing boat crews and confiscate their boats on April 10, 2012, the Chinese government sent its marine surveillance vessels to the scene to abort the illegal activity being carried out by the Philippine navy in China's sovereign territory.  When the Philippines withdrew its ships under the pretext that China has ordered its fishing boats out of the area, China did not withdraw its government vessels, to provide context for future negotiations.  Instead, China simply assumed it had won the "fight" and mightily trumpeted how "strong" and "combat ready" its navy was against all challenges.  This was a diplomatic faux pas.  There was no need to show any strength at that point, when the Philippines had already withdrawn its ships.  But, the "foreign affairs authorities" on Hainan wanted to show off China's naval prowess and claim credit for their showmanship, and thus the attitude of being a victor not needing to negotiate any further.

It gave the Japanese the perfect excuse to have a showdown with China over Diaoyudao, precisely because Japan knew how weak China's navy really was, and therefore in an actual showdown, China would lose.

Now, with the Japanese SDF having fielded 8 F-15 fighter jets over the airspace of China's Diaoyudao, twice in two weeks, China's failure to respond with its own figher jets defending its sovereign space shows how weak China really is, relative to Japan.  The normal response for any country seeing so many enemy jets in its air space is to send a squadron of equal number of jet fighters, if not more.  China's failure to respond in kind can only be interpreted as China being afraid or too weak to dare challenge Japanese supremacy over Diaoyudao's air space.  The Chinese people are watching.  The world is also watching.  Did China blink?


Use magic tools Report

Rank: 6Rank: 6

Post time 2012-12-24 15:51:51 |Display all floors
diplomatically what china should
do is whenever the foreign minister speaks he should mention the Potsdam declaration
everytime to drum it into the world community and diplomats.
when the issue of the Potsdam declaration becomes the issue of discussion in the UN then China will win
with or without a superior miltary.
ExJ.H

Use magic tools Report

You can't reply post until you log in Log in | register

BACK TO THE TOP
Contact us:Tel: (86)010-84883548, Email: blog@chinadaily.com.cn
Blog announcement:| We reserve the right, and you authorize us, to use content, including words, photos and videos, which you provide to our blog
platform, for non-profit purposes on China Daily media, comprising newspaper, website, iPad and other social media accounts.