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exportedkiwi Post time: 2012-9-18 10:31
The best way to hone combat skills is to actually go into combat, something the PLA hasn't done for ...
A difficult proposition... "learning to fight without the real experience of fighting, etc." It would be akin to a boxer preparing for a major to fight without fighting a real opponents, etc. A tennis player taking lessons all day, every day, but no chance to play in the tournaments, etc. This is the proviledge that US has built up; I mean really built up, etc.
Thus, if I was a boxer's coach, I would be careful to choose my boxer's first fight carefully; and if I was tennis player's coach, I would choose the first tournament carefully as well.
Every time when I think about Chinese military, two things come to my mind.
1. What would the femous Chinese military general and strategist, Sun Tzu, would have done.
2. Although Chinese military come a long way, there is no doubt that they were very, very late to the party. I would imagine that patience must be measured in 10, 20 years or perhaps by generations, etc.
However, events in life do not follow a stragithtline, etc., so prepared or not, military's purpose is to fight and win. In my opinion, China is in a very challenging chapter in historial and military terms and must think carefully and not get drawn into a fight, battle, a war, etc., unless it wants it and until it is absolutely ready unless defending homeland, etc.
First, China do not have the blue water navy it needs to operate in open waters, etc. A serious problem... China perhaps has 70-80 ships and Japan has about ~50 modern ships that can operate it any condition, etc. Yes, China has 2-3m army, etc. but you don't want to bring war home, etc.
Thus, where can China get some battle experience? I would have to say, it has to be with Japan. It has to be an percise, well thoghtout, quick, and overwhelming victory. It has to happen before US has a chance to get involved, etc.
But what do I know, I am sure there are many competent Chinese people who can think this through, etc. Whatever you do, you got a good thing going right now. You don't want to miscalculate like Japan and get balls get cut-off, etc.