Author: laoxianggg

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Post time 2008-5-15 11:48:15 |Display all floors
答:完全不可能。中国大概在70年代初的时候,曾成功预报了海城地震,当时中国科学家认为自己摸索到了预报地震的方法。但实际上,预报成功的原因在于,之前有一些微弱地震,人们以此为迹象推测成功。但是没过多久,76年唐山大地震就造成了极大的人员和财产损失。这是任何人没能预报的。
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大家到网上去找找“唐山地震警示录”,看看这个人是怎么撒谎的。 还可以去“优酷”视频输入“唐山大地震真相”等字眼,了解一下历史。

[ Last edited by househusband at 2008-5-15 11:51 AM ]
If winter comes, can spring be frozen ahead?

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Post time 2008-5-15 11:52:17 |Display all floors
完全不可能,那就把该机构撤了,要来干嘛?
If winter comes, can spring be frozen ahead?

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Post time 2008-5-15 11:55:19 |Display all floors

动物可以预测,

有些人类也可以

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Post time 2008-5-15 12:10:43 |Display all floors
Originally posted by cindy1234 at 2008-5-14 09:35 PM
地理学家:地震预测目前还是不可能的(ZT)

......

答:完全不可能。中国大概在70年代初的时候,曾成功预报了海城地震,当时中国科学家认为自己摸索到了预报地震的方法。但实际上,预报成功的原因在于,之前有一些微弱地震,人们以此为迹象推测成功。

此人说话不像个科学家(地理学家算不算科学家?)。如果根据微弱地震能推测到大地震,就是很好的地震预测。

问题是,目前恐怕还未能根据微弱的地震准确地推测到是否会以及何时发生大地震。


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Post time 2008-5-15 12:22:06 |Display all floors

地震中离去的孩子们

是永远的心痛

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Post time 2008-5-15 13:05:48 |Display all floors
准确地 is the word. Maybe "reliable" is an even better word.

Well, several earthquakes have been predicted (most notably the 1975 Haicheng quake—where there was a pronounced foreshock sequence) so earthquake prediction is not "impossible." It just isn't reliable and accurate.
Zhang Xiaodong, deputy director of the China Earthquake Network Centre, was forced to defend his department at a news conference on Tuesday.

"You can't go down under the earth to look like you can with the sky," Zhang told reporters, before elaborating on the complexity and irregularity of earthquakes that makes them difficult to forecast.…

Although Zhang's department studies abnormal animal and physical phenomenon, results have shown a poor correspondence to actual earthquakes.

"We're still researching whether these things are directly related to earthquakes. There's data, but not a very clear relationship."
Earthquake researchers in North America, China and Japan would like nothing more than to predict earthquakes reliably  and accurately but they aren't there yet.
中文我不会读也不会写。Really, I don't.

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Post time 2008-5-15 22:45:22 |Display all floors

这些官员应不应该QB?

还是西方媒体(纽约时报)造谣污蔑?
Several schools in nearby Dujiangyan collapsed while classes were under way. On Tuesday, Prime Minister Wen Jiabao visited two of them, including Xinjian Primary School, where parents say officials told him the death toll was 20 pupils.

But enraged parents interviewed at the morgue on Wednesday afternoon and early Thursday morning say local officials lied to the prime minister to hide the true toll at Xinjian, which they estimate at more than 400 dead children. Several parents blamed local officials for a slow initial rescue response and questioned the structural safety of the school building. They were also furious that officials forbade them to search for their children for two days and then allowed access to the bodies only after the parents formed an ad hoc committee to complain.



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