Obesity in America: 42% estimated to be obese by 2030, new data shows|
Mon May 7, 2012
By 2030, it is estimated that 42 percent of the U.S. population will be obese.
The latest government data show that obesity is leveling off after big rises in earlier decades. But the new study finds even small continuing rises will add up.
Duke University researchers predict that by 2030, 11 percent of people will be severely obese, roughly 100 pounds or more overweight. That is double today's rate.
The obesity epidemic is fueling diabetes, heart disease and other ailments -- and adds significantly to the nation's rising healthcare bill. Huffington Post
As of 2010, about 36% of adults were obese, which is roughly 30 pounds over a healthy weight, and 6% were severely obese, which is 100 or more pounds over a healthy weight. freep.com
"The obesity problem is likely to get much worse without a major public health intervention," says Eric Finkelstein, a health economist with Duke University Global Health Institute and lead researcher on the new study. He presented his analysis at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's (CDC) "Weight of the Nation" meeting, where experts are discussing strategies for the prevention and control of obesity. The study is being published online in the American Journal of Preventive Medicine. freep.com
The report's authors give a sobering price tag for these predictions: such an increase would create $550 billion of obesity-related healthcare costs. abcnews.go.com
The authors calculated the future obesity and severe obesity prevalence based on population factors such as gender, age, race, ethnicity, employment data and recent trends. CNN
Dr. William Dietz, one of the study's authors and director of the CDC's division of Nutrition, Physical Activity and Obesity, also noted that children who are currently overweight or obese will likely be a major source of the increasing rates. "We know that about 50 percent of severe obesity in adults is consequence of obesity in childhood," he said. abcnews.go.com
Currently about 17 percent of children and adolescents are obese. abcnews.go.com