- Registration time
- Last login
- Online time
- 305 Hour
- Reading permission
Originally posted by helong at 2007-9-8 05:39
China will overtake the United States, then after, the Chinese multinational companies will overtake the United States multinational companies.
When the Chinese multinationals being run an ...
Japanese companies have already overtaken many US companies but that has not led to Japanese being a significant world language.
Here is the problem with your analysis. English's dominance has little to do with the USA's economic dominance. It has to do with the western worlds dominance.
English really caught on when the southern and northern Europeans adopted it as a middle ground between their two language groups. English is comparitively easy for German, Swedish, Norse, Flemish speakers to learn compared to Romance languages as well as comparetively easier for French, Spanish, Italian, Romanian, and Portuguese speakers to learn compared to Germanic languages. Europe will be learning English as their second language for the foreseeable future and they will continue to speak it quiet well.
English will continue to be important in the Americas. The US + the US jr will continue speaking English until the latinos breed them out. Even when that day comes you will be left with the hispanisphere which will find learning English rather easy because of a similar alphabet and so many common words. A good half of English comes from French and of that about 25% is the same as spanish. Whats more American English is becoming more and more populated with Spanish words and south american Spanish is increasing populated with English loan words making the links between the two even greater.
America's main role in spreading English is not through economic means but by entertainment. America's entertainment is so popular because the US lead the feminist revolution and as a multicultural society produce movies that everyone can identify with. Korean TV is currently popular in east asia because it is of good quality and is acceptable to east asian people. It doesnt go much beyond that because most people cannot identify with the characters. Yet you are either living in north korea or kidding yourself if you can not some how identify with the US. Every town in the world has some friend or family member that has moved to the US and currently resides there. The US's leader dad was from Kenya. There are senators from Japan and state governors from Austria along with legions of immigrant laborers, shop owners, and professionals. This makes the culture appeal to everyone and popularize it to a great degree.
India and Pakistan will never adopt Chinese, they play cricket and participate in English sporting and activities. Their one cultural link Buddhism died in India long ago. They have too many English native speakers and too many loan words compared with just a few Teabang refugees that speak some mandarin and practically no loan words. The Dravidians in the south will keep up pressure to prevent Hindi from becoming the sole national language and English will continue to be used for commerce in the country.
Anyway in the next 100 years in millions
Europe 500-1000 English
North America 500-1000 English with Spanish influence or Spanish with English influence.
South America 500-1000 Spanish with a lot of English influence
South Asia 1500-2500 Hindi with a lot of English influence and seizable English speaking minority.
Africa 500-1500 English, French, Arabic, who knows probably not Chinese in the next 100 years. Schools just simply aren't good enough there.
South East Asia 750-1500 going to be a toss up between Chinese, Western and Indian influence. In Vietnam and Thailand there is no question but Indonesia and Malaysia its hard to tell. The Philippines is a joke, they already speak English.
East Asia 1500-2000 Definite Chinese
The middle east, central Asia and Russia. I don't really know, depends on too many things. Central Asia I would be on going to English because of the Turkey connection and the Latin script despite being close to china but you never know. Russia as well because of its population centers being in Europe. The middle east isn't going either way unless China gets more Muslims or the West stops trying to fight a holy war.