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China's Taiwan in China's Century [Copy link] 中文

Rank: 4

Post time 2005-8-13 00:48:22 |Display all floors
Proponents of Taiwan reunification argue that the island is an inalienable part of China on the bases of economic, strategic, historic, and political interests, which continue to be shaken and challenged as we move into the new era of Chinese dominance in Asia, and sooner or later, the whole world.

In terms of economics, although Taiwan has a number of lucrative commercial technologies that Chinese companies are eyeing, it is only a matter of time that China, with its vast pool of engineering talents, surpasses Taiwan's current edge, not to mention the fact that China has an enormous market pull and excellent labor mobilization. Scholars and experts also argue that Taiwan's location is crucial to China's import/export logistics. But in reality, Taiwan's Kaoshiung and Keelong are no comparison to China's Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Qindao, and Tienjin. China has too many options for its sea trade routes and Taiwan can only play a minimal importance in it. So on the grounds of trade and economy, China really doesn't need Taiwan in the long run.

Related to the trade routes is the overrated emphasis on Taiwan's strategic location. As we progress into the new era, China's naval technology is developing at an unprecedented pace. Regarding China's military technology advance, it has been mentioned in recent US military reports that it only takes the Chinese 10 months to develop systems that took the Americans 10 years. China's modern submarines are being produced at a lightening speed: meaning that in 20 years time, whether Taiwan is controlled by China or not will not make the slightest difference to China's naval power in the West Pacific. Therefore, China really doesn't need Taiwan to secure its naval prowess.

And then there's the all-familiar argument that Taiwan had belonged to China to in history, which I admit is irrefutable. But China's map has changed so much in the past centuries, in which there was land lost to the Russians under the Aigun Agreement that are hundred times bigger than Taiwan. I think for a natural resource hungry China, "joint exploitation" on the disputed border should not be an option, which is unfortunately how it was settled. So, if all mainland Chinese are so patriotically fervent about getting their lost territory back, then why not start that endeavor by expressing your assertiveness at the Japanese, the Russians, the Indians, and heck... even the Vietnamese, over the disputed territories which undoutedbly belong to China as you do with Taiwan? As a matter of fact, when dealing with foreigners over territorial issues, China seems to employ a rather soft stance and verbal and written complaints are as far as it goes.

Perhaps, after all, China's Taiwan frenzy is nothing but a political maneuver to ensure stability in a rapidly modernizing China.

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Post time 2005-8-13 03:05:46 |Display all floors

China and Taiwan

Having Taiwan as a trading partner as opposed to a subject province will really work out better for both parties in the long run. Just look at Hong Kong: it used to be an economic nexus in South East Asia. However, ever since its incorporation into China, it has to compete with other fast growing Chinese cities like Shenzhen, and it has been losing economic clout for years. In the hindsight, it's becoming increasingly obvious that having Hong Kong as a part of China is really not that significant to the economic wellbeing of the nation. The fast-paced economic progress has marginalized whatever commercial impetus that Hong Kong might've provided. The same scenario will most like hold for Taiwan. Perhaps China should push for some sort of economic integration program with Taiwan along the FTA model. Both economies are mature enough to benefit from this arrangement, and no one will be rendered insignificant by the agreement.

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Post time 2005-9-12 17:41:58 |Display all floors

Chinese Economic Zone?

Has anyone else considered the possibility of a 'Chinese Economic Zone', similar to how the EEC currently works?

If we're talking merely about practicalities, I can't see any real advantage in splicing Taiwan onto China because Taiwan would get swallowed whole and lose its competitive momentum. However, the notion of two separate states does not necessarily require a completely separate economy. Personally I would like to see more options opened in the cross-strait debate than 'unification' or 'independence'.

Does anyone think the Chinese government could ever be brave enough to lose some face and permit Taiwan to continue as an independent nation without the threat of military action, but in return insist on establishment of a 'Chinese Economic Zone'? I'm sure this is a compromise that most people here COULD and WOULD accept and would be fantastic for both sides. I know from trading between EEC member states how great it is to work in a common economic zone. Could China accept it?

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Post time 2005-9-13 10:30:58 |Display all floors

China

The history of China indicated that no matter how many little states/kingdoms China has spilted into...eventually China will become one again...Unity is not just a concept to most Chinese anymore...rather it is in their genes.

Judging from the hostility from Japan and USA, China cannot afford to lose such a strategical location. Taiwan's independence will only mean that Taiwan will become much more dependent on US and Japan. Also People's Republic of China has every right to inherit the lands from the Qin Dynasty and the Republic of China...just like how the 5th Republic of France inherit the lands from the 3rd Republic of France. And to refute you on the points of why China made settlement with the other broadering nations...Let me use a most simple anology. Vietnam, India, Russia and its satellite states are lesser evils while US and Japan are the greater evils which presents immediate threat to the welfare of the Chinese people. Sometime if you wish to fight the greater evils...you have to make deals with little imps in order to conserve your strength for the upcoming struggle.

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Post time 2005-9-29 12:00:03 |Display all floors

All the more the island province should be overpowered tactfully

<<all mainland Chinese are so patriotically fervent about getting their lost territory back, then why not start that endeavor by expressing your assertiveness at the Japanese, the Russians, the Indians, and heck... even the Vietnamese, over the disputed territories which undoutedbly belong to China as you do with Taiwan?>>

And that would give these countries an excuse to go all out on militarism and develop nuclear weapons, is it not?

The PRC must show the world how it could easily and peacefully handles Taiwan province's case.

If Taiwan's issue can be a measurement of Beijing's strength, a successful breakaway would indicate a weakened power. Then, foreigners would take it as an advantage to aggressively launch their mission of splitting the Chinese motherland again. Because, only this, they believe can guarantee a prolonged weakening of Chinese people and its civilization.

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Post time 2005-10-1 09:41:45 |Display all floors

since we're talking about taiwan's history

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Rank: 8Rank: 8

Post time 2005-10-1 16:23:11 |Display all floors

Alexae, i think you are just "talking for fun".....

...in that case, United States belongs to the "United Kingdom" historically and American Marianas...should be independent.....


Taiwan is important....with it being part of China...we can claim Diaoyutai...the Senkaku is nearer to Taiwan than China....

worse Taiwan is so near to Yangtze and Pearl River Delta....

no way, China is going to allow Taiwan independence or allow it to be used by Waiguoren to threaten China's prosperity!!!!!!


Compredo!

fm Cyberfriend.

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