Author: wchao37

The Tariff Nation - farther afield at the Break of Dawn [Copy link] 中文

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Post time 2019-5-25 04:02:42 |Display all floors
This post was edited by wchao37 at 2019-5-27 17:58


这次谷歌必会付出代价. 華為高層未雨綢繆是了不起的遠見.  這就是中国企業家的高明之處. 中国成為世界的領頭羊勢不可擋. 美国的所作所为让全世界看清了其卑鄙和不可信任的本质, 将会为此付出惨重的代价! 这次中国对美国贸易战打得美方的脸啪啪响. 禁食, 禁用, 禁買美国垃圾食品 (麦当劳,  肯塔基雞, 辛巴乐⋯), 塑化饮料 (可乐, 兴奋饮料, 化学果汁饮料⋯), 开後门盗听的所有设备 (蘋果手机, 網路游戏⋯) 美產汽车⋯.這些美国毒害人的商品, 沒人购买就會自動撤离中国! 转用国貨!  所有的黃种人要意识到這不是一場单純的中美貿易战, 而是川普這種白人至上主義者要彻底消滅黃种人趕超路的一种表现.

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Post time 2019-5-25 04:05:54 |Display all floors
This post was edited by wchao37 at 2019-5-27 17:45

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Post time 2019-5-25 09:02:54 |Display all floors
They are now even restricting upper-level hiring in high-tech companies.  Not smart at all.  Reminds me of what Li Si said to Qin the First Emperor in his famous essay.

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Post time 2019-5-25 17:57:42 |Display all floors
wchao37 Post time: 2019-5-24 17:11
huaqiao:

Understood!

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Post time 2019-5-26 10:58:09 |Display all floors
Software working real weird.  

You see huaqiao only on the outside, not inside.

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Post time 2019-5-26 19:03:06 |Display all floors
The following is from today's CD opinion column.   

I am glad that someone else has come to the same conclusion here:  the conflict is going to expand, and Huawei is just the end of the beginning of the war for the reasons I have enumerated in the main post of this thread.

_____________

(from CD)

The US-China trade war is only beginning
chinadaily.com.cn | Updated: 2019-05-26 10:08

The China problem isn't going away  (The Native Americans are all dead yet, that's what they are saying here)

The trade war is just the beginning

On May 24, The Atlantic published on its website an article entitled "The US-China trade war is only beginning" by Richard Fontaine, Chief executive officer of the Center for a New American Security. The highlights are as follows:

America's relationship with China has taken a turn toward the confrontational. Tariffs are rising, rhetoric is heating up, and both sides are digging in. For all the efforts at a resolution, this current phase will likely be remembered as merely the opening skirmish in a long-term competition. The China contest now represents a key organizing principle of American foreign policy. Even a successful trade agreement would represent only the end of the beginning in a new era.

If Donald Trump and Xi Jinping strike a deal—perhaps at their planned meeting during next month's G20 summit—it will be partial at best. Perhaps Beijing will commit to buy more American farm products, natural gas and autos. Such a deal would resolve just a fraction of the economic disagreements dividing Washington and Beijing, and arguably not the most important ones. Larger issues are intrinsic to the fundamental Chinese economic model. They are largely intractable and not amenable to resolution.

An indication that this conflict is here to stay is the striking bipartisan support for President Trump's approach. Unlike every other aspect of the president's foreign policy—toward Iran, for instance, or North Korea, Saudi Arabia, or Russia—Washington's Democrats and Republicans largely agree that the time for a reckoning with China has come. Democratic leaders on Capitol Hill tend either to signal agreement with the president, suggest that he's not tough enough with Beijing, or remain silent. Some quibble with Trump's objectives (such as his fixation on reducing the trade deficit), but virtually everyone in power seems to believe that America's tone should be sharp and tolerant of risk.

That may change, as Trump has begun using the issue to batter 2020 candidates like Joe Biden, holding himself out as uniquely tough and clear-eyed about the challenge. But for now, most of the Democratic presidential candidates have remained quiet, taking care not to out-hawk Trump or label him overly aggressive.

Beyond the beltway, Americans seem willing to absorb the cost of "winning" the trade war. A large proportion of the same farmers who can no longer sell soybeans to China express support for Trump's policy on national interest grounds. Unlike in the past, many corporate leaders privately urge an even tougher approach. With shrinking constituencies on both sides urging comity over confrontation, the bilateral relationship is exposed to the full force of direct competition.

Of course it's possible that the business community remains relatively silent amid because the costs to them, so far, are relatively modest. Once the tariffs really bite, if farmers begin to file for bankruptcy, or if the prohibitions on dealing with key Chinese companies imperils whole markets, that tone may change.

So far, the trade conflict isn't bleeding into other areas.

But contentious issues may not remain siloed forever. A key feature of Cold War politics, at least in the 1970s, was linkage—rewarding cooperation in one area by relaxing tension in another, punishing bad behavior in one domain by imposing costs elsewhere. Linkage in the US-China context could turn a complex and difficult relationship into an unbounded conflict. As the stakes rise, both sides may try to gain advantage in one area by acting in another, and competition could cross domains as varied as defense, technology, diplomacy, information and more.

Trade in theory is a win-win domain. After all, trade is the most positive-sum of all foreign policy activities; parties only enter into a transaction if both expect to benefit. Yet as we've seen, even here disagreements between China and the US are deep, and resolution remains elusive.

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Post time 2019-5-26 19:33:23 |Display all floors
War-mongering doesn't help you win elections, but the appearance of being a bully does help you win votes AT HOME if the home crowd is as pathetic as you are.

Our FM should not just make a statement that Trump is bullying Huawei.

He should spell out the consequences if Trump continues to go down this path.

If there are no consequences, then don't even make the comment about your most innovative company being bullied.

If your sister is being raped right in front of you on the street, you don't simply stand by and say "Oh, this rapist is doing horrible things to my sister right in front of me.  Just horrible.  Someone please call the police."

You pick up a large stone to drop it on the head of the bully instead of just standing by like a perfect gentleman waiting for the police.

Or else admit you're just a pretty boy and there's nothing you're going to do about it.

The day that the Americans start calling the Chinese "bullies,"  that will be the day that the world has really really changed, like in changing from 2G to 5G.

What we have seen so far is just the first salvo of the first skirmish -- yes a skirmish, not even a battle, let alone a war yet.

I really really really want to hear the Americans calling the Chinese "bullies" one day soon enough.

Nothing else needs to be said from that moment on.

There is no such thing as a "gentleman" when it comes to international relations.  

Throughout human history power has never come out of the barrel of a gentleman's smoke pipe.

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