Author: sunnylin01

Is a baby boom coming for China?   [Copy link] 中文

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Post time 2015-11-1 16:07:49 |Display all floors
seneca



the most common family size in Bangla Desh , India , Pakistan, Brazil today is 2 child family.

guess, you will never know.


data driven opinion is much better than intuitions.


all these countries have moved from 5 to 7 children family sizes to 2 - 3 children over the last 40 years.

population growth is driven by longer lives..............not family sizes.











I've made my living, Mr. Thompson, in large part as a gambler. Some days I make twenty bets, some days I make none. There are weeks, sometimes months, in fact, when I don't make any bet at all because ...

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Post time 2015-11-1 16:49:35 |Display all floors
Even if there is no baby boom, the relaxation can easily rationalize population distribution for a start. Rural areas can see economic and social reinvigoration now that urbanization is about to descend upon many towns and cities, creating ever more necessary an influx of young people while at the same time ensuring that infrastructure, amenities, facilities, schools, hospitals, etc., can continuously and sufficiently support the populace and not fracture at the seams due to the new policy.

The one child policy has successfully run its historical course having created one of the most powerful and enviable nation on earth all due to the grand foresight and hard work of the government and people, lacking of which could have precariously bound the nation much more longer in the Third World category with an even more catastrophic consequence to environment, development, and nation building. National security would be endangered and easily destroyed since a disproportionate amount of resources have been allocated to all kinds of requirements leaving nothing of significance for defense.

The aging population is increasing at an alarming rate therefore though the previous policy was scientifically sound, the second child policy can now be rolled out to commence replenishment of that group. Some hurdles will need to be overcome, such as financial ability, employment stability, kindergartens, child/domestic responsibilities, etc.

The local economy as it is today, a powerful consumption society may solve the hefty issues in their wake.   

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Post time 2015-11-1 18:58:25 |Display all floors
dusty1 Post time: 2015-11-1 05:07
What for little ghost?

Personal attack of course. When you are in no position to substantiate your accusation you are making an unwarranted personal attack.

*REPORTED*

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Post time 2015-11-1 19:00:03 |Display all floors
die_begierde Post time: 2015-11-1 18:58
Personal attack of course. When you are in no position to substantiate your accusation you are mak ...

You want to piss with the big dogs, be careful you don't get pissed upon

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Post time 2015-11-1 19:04:21 |Display all floors
dusty1 Post time: 2015-11-1 19:00
You want to piss with the big dogs, be careful you don't get pissed upon

It's very well thinking of yourself as a "big dog"...

But seriously is it common for lowly ones from down under to entertain delusions of grandeur?

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Post time 2015-11-1 19:37:14 |Display all floors
die_begierde Post time: 2015-11-1 19:04
It's very well thinking of yourself as a "big dog"...

But seriously is it common for lowly ones f ...

You seem to know cliches very well how very like you unoriginal

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Post time 2015-11-1 20:27:58 |Display all floors
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